Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.039967 0.043566 0.047211 0.051171 0.055347 0.059613 0.064293
2025-08-03 0.034864 0.040199 0.045794 0.052077 0.058908 0.066088 0.074179
2025-08-10 0.028956 0.035283 0.042150 0.050098 0.058985 0.068562 0.079608
2025-08-17 0.025103 0.032190 0.040124 0.049557 0.060362 0.072252 0.086226
2025-08-24 0.021942 0.029553 0.038326 0.049016 0.061528 0.075552 0.092306
2025-08-31 0.020366 0.028604 0.038335 0.050437 0.064846 0.081234 0.101060
2025-09-07 0.018815 0.027524 0.038057 0.051406 0.067557 0.086169 0.108943
2025-09-14 0.017306 0.026353 0.037551 0.052002 0.069749 0.090452 0.116047
2025-09-21 0.015790 0.025044 0.036762 0.052156 0.071335 0.093968 0.122224
2025-09-28 0.014989 0.024606 0.037019 0.053565 0.074421 0.099261 0.130513
2025-10-05 0.013431 0.023018 0.035689 0.052879 0.074848 0.101304 0.134888
2025-10-12 0.012333 0.021984 0.035013 0.052968 0.076194 0.104428 0.140545
2025-10-19 0.011554 0.021375 0.034901 0.053808 0.078536 0.108849 0.147893
2025-10-26 0.010976 0.021019 0.035106 0.055054 0.081400 0.113940 0.156103
2025-11-02 0.009434 0.019089 0.033026 0.053158 0.080144 0.113850 0.157917
2025-11-09 0.008475 0.017979 0.032036 0.052678 0.080685 0.115982 0.162459
2025-11-16 0.007595 0.016920 0.031056 0.052157 0.081129 0.117964 0.166802
2025-11-23 0.007330 0.016857 0.031529 0.053660 0.084271 0.123403 0.175506
2025-11-30 0.006961 0.016587 0.031671 0.054682 0.086766 0.128019 0.183195
2025-12-07 0.006524 0.016160 0.031550 0.055310 0.088718 0.131937 0.190014
2025-12-14 0.006014 0.015559 0.031125 0.055473 0.090021 0.135007 0.195762
2025-12-21 0.005828 0.015538 0.031599 0.056943 0.093123 0.140436 0.204545
2025-12-28 0.005199 0.014625 0.030612 0.056228 0.093179 0.141858 0.208187